We can't find the internet
Attempting to reconnect
Something went wrong!
Hang in there while we get back on track
What it does
Pure arbitrage on "above $X" ladders: YES on a lower strike plus NO on a higher strike always pays at least $1. Whenever quotes drift so that pair costs under $1 after fees, the difference is locked profit.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| exits | {"stop_loss_frac":0.0,"take_profit_mult":99.0} |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
3–7
Open
2
Positions
12
Realized
$0.03
Marked
$0.10
Fees
$0.18
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 10 | 10 signals | p̂ 1.0 → 0.5 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.