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PredictionX
Autonomous prediction-market trading, in the open.
An automated research and trading platform for prediction markets. Strategies trade around the clock — mostly on paper, real money only under strict caps — and every result is published, fees included, nothing omitted.
Simulated performance unless labeled live · not investment advice
Capabilities
Everything the platform runs
Autonomous strategies
Dozens of paper strategies across crypto, econ, weather, and politics — fee-inclusive accounting, auto-tuning, regime and trading-hours awareness.
Live trading
Real-money execution is live under operator control — graduated caps, a kill switch, health-gated orders, and a two-leg cross-venue arb executor, with live-vs-paper divergence tracked before size ever scales.
Multi-venue intelligence
Five data venues side by side — Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, ForecastEx, and Cboe — feeding a cross-venue arb radar, price-discovery leaders, and an arb executor for the tradable legs.
Research engine
Backtests, event studies, meta-label ML, TCA and slippage measurement, edge-decay tracking, Monte Carlo.
Risk management
Per-market, underlying, category, and cluster caps; drawdown auto-halt, canary sentinels, and live risk headroom.
Radical transparency
A hash-chained public track record with fees included, per-strategy methodology pages, weekly reports, and a full audit trail.
Operations
Self-healing ingestion, an API governor, latency SLOs, encrypted offsite backups, and DR rehearsals.
Built for the operator
Installable PWA with push alerts, guest share links, an operator journal, and a notification center.
The loop
How it works
Ingest
Market data, order books, spot prices, and weather flow in from five venues around the clock — with self-healing when a feed misbehaves.
Signal
Strategies score each market and emit sized signals with an explicit rationale and confidence — fees modeled before entry, not after.
Risk-gated execution
Caps, drawdown halts, and system health checks gate every order. Paper by default; real money only under graduated caps and a kill switch.
Published results
Every fill, fee, and P&L line lands on the public track record. Wins and losses alike — nothing omitted.
The fine print, up front
- Simulated unless labeled live. Results come from paper trading unless a figure is explicitly marked live. Hypothetical performance has inherent limitations.
- Fees included. Every P&L number is net of modeled trading and settlement fees — no fee-free “gross” hero numbers.
- Not investment advice. Nothing here is investment advice or an offer to trade on your behalf.
Operator access
Private beta
PredictionX is allowlist-gated while live trading is proven out. Sign in if you have access — the track record is public either way.
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