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What it does
Wakes up only in the 45 minutes after a scheduled macro print (CPI, jobs report, claims) and buys the favorite side of soon-resolving economics markets while quotes are still where pre-release hedging left them.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
3–0
Open
0
Positions
3
Realized
$0.42
Marked
$0.42
Fees
$0.04
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 8 | 1 signals | p̂ 0.79 → 1.0 |
| bucket 9 | 2 signals | p̂ 0.86 → 1.0 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.