We can't find the internet
Attempting to reconnect
Something went wrong!
Hang in there while we get back on track
What it does
BTC, ETH, and SOL move together minute to minute. When one asset's 15-minute "up" market prices far richer than a correlated partner's in the same window, it buys the cheap laggard, betting the pair re-converges — which is the norm.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
301–423
Open
4
Positions
728
Realized
$23.34
Marked
$21.99
Fees
$2.28
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 6 | 111 signals | p̂ 0.6 → 0.49 |
| bucket 7 | 614 signals | p̂ 0.63 → 0.4 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.