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What it does
Market-makes wide-spread markets: posts resting orders on BOTH sides one tick inside the standing bids, earning the spread with zero maker fees when both fill. Unfilled quotes cancel — it never crosses the spread.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
| min_spread | 8 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
6–6
Open
4
Positions
16
Realized
$0.84
Marked
$0.88
Fees
$0.58
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 5 | 24 signals | p̂ 0.5 → 0.5 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.