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What it does
Pure arbitrage on price-range ladders: exactly one bracket must win, so if buying one YES in every bracket costs less than the guaranteed $1 payout (after fees), that difference is locked profit regardless of where the price goes.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| exits | {"stop_loss_frac":0.0,"take_profit_mult":99.0} |
| symbols | ["BTC","ETH"] |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
0–30
Open
0
Positions
30
Realized
$-4.09
Marked
$-4.09
Fees
$0.61
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 10 | 24 signals | p̂ 1.0 → 0.08 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.