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What it does
In the final hours before daily "close above $X" markets settle, strikes far from the current price are near-certainties that often still trade a few cents from their extreme. Buys the near-certain side for the last cents.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
| min_edge | 3 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
677–362
Open
4
Positions
1043
Realized
$866.59
Marked
$867.26
Fees
$18.05
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 10 | 1050 signals | p̂ 0.96 → 0.43 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.