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What it does
Compares the live BTC price to "Bitcoin above $X" markets. When the market's price implies much lower odds than where spot actually is, it buys the cheap side.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
| min_edge | 20 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
0–11
Open
1
Positions
12
Realized
$-4.82
Marked
$-4.94
Fees
$0.78
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.