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What it does
In the final minutes of each hourly market, buys the bracket the price is currently sitting in when it is near-certain to stay there but still trades a few cents below fair — collecting small, frequent edges at settlement.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
| min_edge | 3 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
53–117
Open
0
Positions
170
Realized
$-29.42
Marked
$-29.42
Fees
$2.98
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 9 | 119 signals | p̂ 0.87 → 0.19 |
| bucket 10 | 51 signals | p̂ 0.95 → 0.59 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.