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What it does
Reads the live order book on at-the-money hourly brackets: when resting depth is lopsided toward one side, patient money is leaning that way — the classic microstructure predictor. Buys the heavy side before the drift.
Key parameters
behavior-shaping settings only| count | 1 |
| min_imbalance | 0.7 |
Record (fee-inclusive, this season)
W–L
27–35
Open
0
Positions
62
Realized
$2.15
Marked
$2.15
Fees
$0.39
Calibration
predicted vs realized win rate, by confidence bucket| bucket 7 | 34 signals | p̂ 0.69 → 0.44 |
| bucket 8 | 28 signals | p̂ 0.73 → 0.46 |
Caveats:
All results shown are simulated (paper) trading
performance, not
actual trading, unless explicitly labeled live. Fees and slippage are modeled
(Kalshi's taker fee formula plus 1¢ slippage), which cannot fully reflect real
market impact or liquidity constraints. Past performance, simulated or actual, is
not indicative of future results. Parameters shown are the current configuration
and change over time as the strategy is tuned. Nothing on this page is investment
advice — see the full disclaimer.